Standard deviation
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Statistics: Scientific method · Research methods · Experimental design · Undergraduate statistics courses · Statistical tests · Game theory · Decision theory
In probability theory and statistics, the standard deviation of a statistical population, a data set, or a probability distribution is the square root of its variance. Standard deviation is a widely used measure of the variability or dispersion, being algebraically more tractable though practically less robust than the expected deviation or average absolute deviation.
It shows how much variation there is from the "average" (mean). A low standard deviation indicates that the data points tend to be very close to the mean, whereas high standard deviation indicates that the data are spread out over a large range of values.
For example, the average height for adult men in the United States is about 70ins}}, with a standard deviation of around 3ins. This means that most men (about 68 percent, assuming a normal distribution) have a height within 3insn}} of the mean (6773in}) – one standard deviation, whereas almost all men (about 95%) have a height within 6in of the mean 6476in – 2 standard deviations. If the standard deviation were zero, then all men would be exactly 70ins high. If the standard deviation were 20ins, then men would have much more variable heights, with a typical range of about 50to90in. Three standard deviations account for 99% of the sample population being studied, assuming the distribution is normal (bellshaped).
In addition to expressing the variability of a population, standard deviation is commonly used to measure confidence in statistical conclusions. For example, the margin of error in polling data is determined by calculating the expected standard deviation in the results if the same poll were to be conducted multiple times. The reported margin of error is typically about twice the standard deviation – the radius of a 95% confidence interval. In science, researchers commonly report the standard deviation of experimental data, and only effects that fall far outside the range of standard deviation are considered statistically significant—normal random error or variation in the measurements is in this way distinguished from causal variation. Standard deviation is also important in finance, where the standard deviation on the rate of return on an investment is a measure of the volatility of the investment.
The term standard deviation was first used^{[1]} in writing by Karl Pearson^{[2]} in 1894, following his use of it in lectures. This was as a replacement for earlier alternative names for the same idea: for example Gauss used "mean error".^{[3]} A useful property of standard deviation is that, unlike variance, it is expressed in the same units as the data. Note, however, that for measurements with percentage as unit, the standard deviation will have percentage points as unit.
When only a sample of data from a population is available, the population standard deviation can be estimated by a modified quantity called the sample standard deviation, explained below.
Contents
[show]Basic exampleEdit
Consider a population consisting of the following values:
There are eight data points in total, with a mean (or average) value of 5:
To calculate the population standard deviation, first compute the difference of each data point from the mean, and square the result:
Next divide the sum of these values by the number of values and take the square root to give the standard deviation:
Therefore, the above has a population standard deviation of 2.
The above assumes a complete population. If the 8 values are obtained by random sampling from some parent population, then computing the sample standard deviation would use a denominator of 7 instead of 8. See the section Estimation below for an explanation.
DefinitionEdit
Probability distribution or random variableEdit
Let X be a random variable with mean value μ:
Here the operator E denotes the average or expected value of X. Then the standard deviation of X is the quantity
That is, the standard deviation σ (sigma) is the square root of the average value of (X − μ)^{2}.
In the case where X takes random values from a finite data set , with each value having the same probability, the standard deviation is
or, using summation notation,
The standard deviation of a (univariate) probability distribution is the same as that of a random variable having that distribution. Not all random variables have a standard deviation, since these expected values need not exist. For example, the standard deviation of a random variable which follows a Cauchy distribution is undefined because its expected value is undefined.
Continuous random variableEdit
The standard deviation of a continuous realvalued random variable X with probability density function p(x) is
where
and where the integrals are definite integrals taken for x ranging over the sample space of X.
In the case of a parametric family of distributions, the standard deviation can be expressed in terms of the parameters. For example, in the case of the lognormal distribution with parameters μ and σ^{2}, the standard deviation is [(exp(σ^{2})1)exp(2μ+σ^{2})]^{1/2}.
EstimationEdit
One can find the standard deviation of an entire population in cases (such as standardized testing) where every member of a population is sampled. In cases where that cannot be done, the standard deviation σ is estimated by examining a random sample taken from the population. Some estimators are given below:
With standard deviation of the sampleEdit
An estimator for σ sometimes used is the standard deviation of the sample, denoted by s_{n} and defined as follows:
This estimator has a uniformly smaller mean squared error than the "sample standard deviation" (see below), and is the maximumlikelihood estimate when the population is normally distributed. But this estimator, when applied to a small or moderately sized sample, tends to be too low: it is a biased estimator.
The standard deviation of the sample is the same as the population standard deviation of a discrete random variable that can assume precisely the values from the data set, where the probability for each value is proportional to its multiplicity in the data set.
With sample standard deviationEdit
The most common estimator for σ used is an adjusted version, the sample standard deviation, denoted by "s" and defined as follows:
where is the sample and is the mean of the sample. This correction (the use of N − 1 instead of N) is known as Bessel's correction. The reason for this correction is that s^{2} is an unbiased estimator for the variance σ^{2} of the underlying population, if that variance exists and the sample values are drawn independently with replacement. However, s is not an unbiased estimator for the standard deviation σ; it tends to underestimate the population standard deviation.
Note that the term "standard deviation of the sample" is used for the uncorrected estimator (using N) whilst the term "sample standard deviation" is used for the corrected estimator (using N − 1). The denominator N − 1 is the number of degrees of freedom in the vector of residuals, .
Other estimatorsEdit
 Further information: Unbiased estimation of standard deviation
Although an unbiased estimator for σ is known when the random variable is normally distributed, the formula is complicated and amounts to a minor correction: see Unbiased estimation of standard deviation for more details. Moreover, unbiasedness, (in this sense of the word), is not always desirable: see bias of an estimator.
Identities and mathematical propertiesEdit
The standard deviation is invariant to changes in location, and scales directly with the scale of the random variable. Thus, for a constant c and random variables X and Y:
The standard deviation of the sum of two random variables can be related to their individual standard deviations and the covariance between them:
where and stand for variance and covariance, respectively.
The calculation of the sum of squared deviations can be related to moments calculated directly from the data. In general, we have
For a finite population with equal probabilities on all points, we have
Thus, the standard deviation is equal to the square root of (the average of the squares less the square of the average). See computational formula for the variance for a proof of this fact, and for an analogous result for the sample standard deviation.
Interpretation and applicationEdit
A large standard deviation indicates that the data points are far from the mean and a small standard deviation indicates that they are clustered closely around the mean.
For example, each of the three populations {0, 0, 14, 14}, {0, 6, 8, 14} and {6, 6, 8, 8} has a mean of 7. Their standard deviations are 7, 5, and 1, respectively. The third population has a much smaller standard deviation than the other two because its values are all close to 7. In a loose sense, the standard deviation tells us how far from the mean the data points tend to be. It will have the same units as the data points themselves. If, for instance, the data set {0, 6, 8, 14} represents the ages of a population of four siblings in years, the standard deviation is 5 years.
As another example, the population {1000, 1006, 1008, 1014} may represent the distances traveled by four athletes, measured in meters. It has a mean of 1007 meters, and a standard deviation of 5 meters.
Standard deviation may serve as a measure of uncertainty. In physical science, for example, the reported standard deviation of a group of repeated measurements should give the precision of those measurements. When deciding whether measurements agree with a theoretical prediction the standard deviation of those measurements is of crucial importance: if the mean of the measurements is too far away from the prediction (with the distance measured in standard deviations), then the theory being tested probably needs to be revised. This makes sense since they fall outside the range of values that could reasonably be expected to occur if the prediction were correct and the standard deviation appropriately quantified. See prediction interval.
Application examplesEdit
The practical value of understanding the standard deviation of a set of values is in appreciating how much variation there is from the "average" (mean).
WeatherEdit
As a simple example, consider average temperatures for cities. While two cities may each have an average temperature of 15 °C, it's helpful to understand that the range for cities near the coast is smaller than for cities inland, which clarifies that, while the average is similar, the chance for variation is greater inland than near the coast.
So, an average of 15 occurs for one city with highs of 25 °C and lows of 5 °C, and also occurs for another city with highs of 18 and lows of 12. The standard deviation allows us to recognize that the average for the city with the wider variation, and thus a higher standard deviation, will not offer as reliable a prediction of temperature as the city with the smaller variation and lower standard deviation.
SportsEdit
Another way of seeing it is to consider sports teams. In any set of categories, there will be teams that rate highly at some things and poorly at others. Chances are, the teams that lead in the standings will not show such disparity, but will perform well in most categories. The lower the standard deviation of their ratings in each category, the more balanced and consistent they will tend to be. Whereas, teams with a higher standard deviation will be more unpredictable. For example, a team that is consistently bad in most categories will have a low standard deviation. A team that is consistently good in most categories will also have a low standard deviation. However, a team with a high standard deviation might be the type of team that scores a lot (strong offense) but also concedes a lot (weak defense), or, vice versa, that might have a poor offense but compensates by being difficult to score on.
Trying to predict which teams, on any given day, will win, may include looking at the standard deviations of the various team "stats" ratings, in which anomalies can match strengths vs. weaknesses to attempt to understand what factors may prevail as stronger indicators of eventual scoring outcomes.
In racing, a driver is timed on successive laps. A driver with a low standard deviation of lap times is more consistent than a driver with a higher standard deviation. This information can be used to help understand where opportunities might be found to reduce lap times.
FinanceEdit
In finance, standard deviation is a representation of the risk associated with a given security (stocks, bonds, property, etc.), or the risk of a portfolio of securities (actively managed mutual funds, index mutual funds, or ETFs). Risk is an important factor in determining how to efficiently manage a portfolio of investments because it determines the variation in returns on the asset and/or portfolio and gives investors a mathematical basis for investment decisions (known as meanvariance optimization). The overall concept of risk is that as it increases, the expected return on the asset will increase as a result of the risk premium earned – in other words, investors should expect a higher return on an investment when said investment carries a higher level of risk, or uncertainty of that return. When evaluating investments, investors should estimate both the expected return and the uncertainty of future returns. Standard deviation provides a quantified estimate of the uncertainty of future returns.
For example, let's assume an investor had to choose between two stocks. Stock A over the last 20 years had an average return of 10%, with a standard deviation of 20 percentage points (pp) and Stock B, over the same period, had average returns of 12%, but a higher standard deviation of 30 pp. On the basis of risk and return, an investor may decide that Stock A is the safer choice, because Stock B's additional 2% points of return is not worth the additional 10 pp standard deviation (greater risk or uncertainty of the expected return). Stock B is likely to fall short of the initial investment (but also to exceed the initial investment) more often than Stock A under the same circumstances, and is estimated to return only 2% more on average. In this example, Stock A is expected to earn about 10%, plus or minus 20 pp (a range of 30% to 10%), about twothirds of the future year returns. When considering more extreme possible returns or outcomes in future, an investor should expect results of up to 10% plus or minus 60 pp, or a range from 70% to (−)50%, which includes outcomes for three standard deviations from the average return (about 99.7% of probable returns).
Calculating the average return (or arithmetic mean) of a security over a given number of periods will generate an expected return on the asset. For each period, subtracting the expected return from the actual return results in the variance. Square the variance in each period to find the effect of the result on the overall risk of the asset. The larger the variance in a period, the greater risk the security carries. Taking the average of the squared variances results in the measurement of overall units of risk associated with the asset. Finding the square root of this variance will result in the standard deviation of the investment tool in question.
Population standard deviation is used to set the width of Bollinger bands, a widely adopted technical analysis tool. For example, the upper Bollinger band is given as:
Geometric interpretationEdit
To gain some geometric insights, we will start with a population of three values, x_{1}, x_{2}, x_{3}. This defines a point P = (x_{1}, x_{2}, x_{3}) in R^{3}. Consider the line L = {(r, r, r) : r in R}. This is the "main diagonal" going through the origin. If our three given values were all equal, then the standard deviation would be zero and P would lie on L. So it is not unreasonable to assume that the standard deviation is related to the distance of P to L. And that is indeed the case. To move orthogonally from L to the point P, one begins at the point:
whose coordinates are the mean of the values we started out with. A little algebra shows that the distance between P and M (which is the same as the orthogonal distance between P and the line L) is equal to the standard deviation of the vector x_{1}, x_{2}, x_{3}, divided by the square root of the number of dimensions of the vector.
Chebyshev's inequalityEdit
An observation is rarely more than a few standard deviations away from the mean. Chebyshev's inequality entails the following bounds for all distributions for which the standard deviation is defined.
 At least 50% of the values are within √2 standard deviations from the mean.
 At least 75% of the values are within 2 standard deviations from the mean.
 At least 89% of the values are within 3 standard deviations from the mean.
 At least 94% of the values are within 4 standard deviations from the mean.
 At least 96% of the values are within 5 standard deviations from the mean.
 At least 97% of the values are within 6 standard deviations from the mean.
And in general:
 At least (1 − 1/k^{2}) × 100% of the values are within k standard deviations from the mean.^{[4]}
Rules for normally distributed dataEdit
The central limit theorem says that the distribution of a sum of many independent, identically distributed random variables tends towards the famous "bellshaped" normal distribution with a probability density function of:
where is the arithmetic mean of the sample. The standard deviation therefore is simply a scaling variable that adjusts how broad the curve will be, though also appears in the normalizing constant to keep the distribution normalized for different widths.
If a data distribution is approximately normal then the proportion of data values within z standard deviations of the mean is defined by erf (zσ / √2). The percentage of data values within z standard deviations of the mean is defined by erf(zσ / √2) × 50% + 50%. If a data distribution is approximately normal then about 68% of the data values are within 1 standard deviation of the mean (mathematically, μ ± σ, where μ is the arithmetic mean), about 95% are within two standard deviations (μ ± 2σ), and about 99.7% lie within 3 standard deviations (μ ± 3σ). This is known as the 689599.7 rule, or the empirical rule.
For various values of z, the percentage of values expected to lie in and outside the symmetric confidence interval CI = (−zσ, zσ) are as follows:
zσ  percentage within CI  percentage outside CI  ratio outside CI 

1σ  68.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  31.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 3.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction 
1.645σ  90%  10%  1 / 10 
1.960σ  95%  5%  1 / 20 
2σ  95.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  4.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 21.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction 
2.576σ  99%  1%  1 / 100 
3σ  99.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  0.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 370.398 
3.2906σ  99.9%  0.1%  1 / 1000 
4σ  99.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  0.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 15,788 
5σ  99.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  0.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 1,744,278 
6σ  99.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  0.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 506,800,000 
7σ  99.999 999 999 7440%  0.Template:Val/delimitnum/fraction%  1 / 390,600,000,000 
Relationship between standard deviation and meanEdit
The mean and the standard deviation of a set of data are usually reported together. In a certain sense, the standard deviation is a "natural" measure of statistical dispersion if the center of the data is measured about the mean. This is because the standard deviation from the mean is smaller than from any other point. The precise statement is the following: suppose x_{1}, ..., x_{n} are real numbers and define the function:
Using calculus or by completing the square, it is possible to show that σ(r) has a unique minimum at the mean:
The coefficient of variation of a sample is the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean. It is a dimensionless number that can be used to compare the amount of variance between populations with means that are close together. The reason is that if you compare populations with same standard deviations but different means then coefficient of variation will be bigger for the population with the smaller mean. Thus in comparing variability of data, coefficient of variation should be used with care and better replaced with another method.
Often we want some information about the accuracy of the mean we obtained. We can obtain this by determining the standard devation of the sampled mean.
The standard deviation of the mean is related to the standard deviation of the distribution by:
where N is the number of observation in the sample used to estimate the mean. This can easily be proven with:
hence
Resulting in:
Worked exampleEdit
The standard deviation of a discrete random variable is the rootmeansquare (RMS) deviation of its values from the mean.
If the random variable X takes on N values (which are real numbers) with equal probability, then its standard deviation σ can be calculated as follows:
 Find the mean, , of the values.
 For each value calculate its deviation from the mean.
 Calculate the squares of these deviations.
 Find the mean of the squared deviations. This quantity is the variance σ^{2}.
 Take the square root of the variance.
This calculation is described by the following formula:
where is the arithmetic mean of the values x_{i}, defined as:
If not all values have equal probability, but the probability of value x_{i} equals p_{i}, the standard deviation can be computed by:
where
 .
Suppose we wished to find the standard deviation of the distribution placing probabilities 1/4, 1/2, and 1/4 on the points in the sample space 3, 7, and 19.
Step 1: find the probabilityweighted mean
Step 2: find the deviation of each value in the sample space from the mean,
Step 3: square each of the deviations, which amplifies large deviations and makes negative values positive,
Step 4: find the probabilityweighted mean of the squared deviations,
Step 5: take the positive square root of the quotient (converting squared units back to regular units),
So, the standard deviation of the set is 6. This example also shows that, in general, the standard deviation is different from the mean absolute deviation (which is 5 in this example).
Rapid calculation methodsEdit
 See also: Algorithms for calculating variance
The following two formulas can represent a running (continuous) standard deviation. A set of three power sums s_{0,1,2} are each computed over a set of N values of x, denoted as x_{k}.
Note that s_{0} raises x to the zero power, and since x^{0} is always 1, s_{0} evaluates to N.
Given the results of these three running summations, the values s_{0,1,2} can be used at any time to compute the current value of the running standard deviation. This definition for s_{j} can represent the two different phases (summation computation s_{j}, and calculation).
Similarly for sample standard deviation,
In a computer implementation, as the three s_{j} sums become large, we need to consider roundoff error, arithmetic overflow, and arithmetic underflow. The method below calculates the running sums method with reduced rounding errors:
where A is the mean value.
or
sample variance:
standard variance
Weighted calculationEdit
When the values x_{i} are weighted with unequal weights w_{i}, the power sums s_{0,1,2} are each computed as:
And the standard deviation equations remain unchanged. Note that s_{0} is now the sum of the weights and not the number of samples N.
The incremental method with reduced rounding errors can also be applied, with some additional complexity.
A running sum of weights must be computed:
and places where 1/i is used above must be replaced by w_{i}/W_{i}:
In the final division,
and
where n is the total number of elements, and n' is the number of elements with nonzero weights. The above formulas become equal to the simpler formulas given above if weights are taken as equal to 1.
Combining standard deviationsEdit
Populationbased statisticsEdit
Standard deviations of nonoverlapping subpopulations can be aggregated as follows if the size (actual or relative to one another) and means of each are known:
and
where
For example, suppose it is known that the average American man has a mean height of 70 inches with a standard deviation of 3 inches and that the average American woman has a mean height of 65 inches with a standard deviation of 2 inches. The mean and standard deviation for American adults could be calculated as:
For the more general M nonoverlapping data sets X1 through XM:
and
where
If the size (actual or relative to one another), mean, and standard deviation of two overlapping populations are known for the populations as well as their intersection, then the standard deviation of the overall population can still be calculated as follows:
and
If two or more sets of data are being added in a pairwise fashion, the standard deviation can be calculated if the covariance between the each pair of data sets is known.
For the special case where no correlation exists between all pairs of data sets, then the relation reduces to:
where
Samplebased statisticsEdit
Standard deviations of nonoverlapping subsamples can be aggregated as follows if the actual size and means of each are known:
and:
where
For the more general M nonoverlapping data sets X1 through XM:
and:
where
If the size, mean, and standard deviation of two overlapping samples are known for the samples as well as their intersection, then the standard deviation of the samples can still be calculated. In general:
and:
See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit
 ↑ Dodge, Yadolah (2003). The Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms, Oxford University Press.
 ↑ Pearson, Karl (1894). On the dissection of asymmetrical frequency curves. Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, Series A 185: 719–810.
 ↑ Miller, Jeff Earliest Known Uses of Some of the Words of Mathematics.
 ↑ Ghahramani, Saeed (2000). Fundamentals of Probability (2nd Edition). Prentice Hall: New Jersey. p. 438.
External linksEdit
 A Guide to Understanding & Calculating Standard Deviation
 Interactive Demonstration and Standard Deviation Calculator
 Standard Deviation – an explanation without maths
 Standard Deviation, an elementary introduction
 Standard Deviation, a simpler explanation for writers and journalists
 Standard Deviation Calculator
 Texas A&M Standard Deviation and Confidence Interval Calculators
 The concept of Standard Deviation is shown in this 8 foot tall Probability Machine (named Sir Francis) comparing stock market returns to the randomness of the beans dropping through the quincunx pattern. from Index Funds Advisors IFA.com
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