Log-normal distribution
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| Probability density function μ=0 | |
| Cumulative distribution function μ=0 | |
| Parameters | ![]()
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| cdf |
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| Mean |
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| Median |
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| Mode |
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| mgf | (see text for raw moments) |
| Char. func. | |
In probability and statistics, the log-normal distribution is the probability distribution of any random variable whose logarithm is normally distributed. If X is a random variable with a normal distribution, then exp(X) has a log-normal distribution; likewise, if Y is log-normally distributed, then log(Y) is normally distributed.
"Log-normal" is also written "log normal", "lognormal" or "logistic normal".
A variable might be modeled as log-normal if it can be thought of as the multiplicative product of many small independent factors. A typical example is the long-term return rate on a stock investment: it can be considered as the product of the daily return rates.
The log-normal distribution has probability density function (pdf)
for
, where
and
are the mean and standard deviation of the variable's logarithm. The expected value is
and the variance is
Equivalent relationships may be written to obtain
and
given the expected value and standard deviation:
Contents |
[edit] Relationship to geometric mean and geometric standard deviation
Log-normal distribution the geometric mean, and the geometric standard deviation are related. In this case, the geometric mean is equal to
and the geometric standard deviation is equal to
.
If a sample of data is determined to come from a log-normally distributed population, the geometric mean and the geometric standard deviation may be used to estimate confidence intervals akin to the way the arithmetic mean and standard deviation are used to estimate confidence intervals for a normally distributed sample of data.
| Confidence interval bounds | log space | geometric |
|---|---|---|
| 3σ lower bound |
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| 2σ lower bound |
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| 1σ lower bound |
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| 1σ upper bound |
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| 2σ upper bound |
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| 3σ upper bound |
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Where geometric mean
and geometric standard deviation
[edit] Moments
The first few raw moments are:
or generally:
[edit] Partial expectation
The partial expectation of a random variable
with respect to a threshold
is defined as
where
is the density. For a lognormal density it can be shown that
where
is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal. The partial expectation of a lognormal has applications in insurance and in economics.
[edit] Maximum likelihood estimation of parameters
For determining the maximum likelihood estimators of the log-normal distribution parameters μ and σ, we can use the same procedure as for the normal distribution. To avoid repetition, we observe that
where by
we denote the density probability function of the log-normal distribution and by
—that of the normal distribution. Therefore, using the same indices to denote distributions, we can write the log-likelihood function thus:
Since the first term is constant with regards to μ and σ, both logarithmic likelihood functions,
and
, reach their maximum with the same μ and σ. Hence, using the formulas for the normal distribution maximum likelihood parameter estimators and the equality above, we deduce that for the log-normal distribution it holds that
[edit] Related distributions
-
is a normal distribution if
and
.
- If
are independent log-normally distributed variables with the same μ parameter and possibly varying σ, and
, then Y is a log-normally distributed variable as well:
.
[edit] Further reading
- Robert Brooks, Jon Corson, and J. Donal Wales. "The Pricing of Index Options When the Underlying Assets All Follow a Lognormal Diffusion", in Advances in Futures and Options Research, volume 7, 1994.
[edit] References
- The Lognormal Distribution, Aitchison, J. and Brown, J.A.C. (1957)
- Log-normal Distributions across the Sciences: Keys and Clues, E. Limpert, W. Stahel and M. Abbt,. BioScience, 51 (5), p. 341–352 (2001).
- Properties of Lognormal Distribution, John Hull, in Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6E (2005). ISBN 0-13-149908-4
- Eric W. Weisstein et al. Log Normal Distribution at MathWorld. Electronic document, retrieved October 26, 2006.
[edit] See also
de:Logarithmische Normalverteilunggl:Distribución lognormalru:Логнормальное распределение su:Sebaran Log-normal zh:对数正态分布
| This page uses content from the English-language version of Wikipedia. The original article was at Log-normal distribution. The list of authors can be seen in the page history. As with Psychology Wiki, the text of Wikipedia is available under the GNU Free Documentation License. |








































