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Cramér-Rao inequality

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In statistics, the Cramér-Rao inequality, named in honor of Harald Cramér and Calyampudi Radhakrishna Rao, expresses a lower bound on the variance of an unbiased statistical estimator, based on Fisher information.

It states that the reciprocal of the Fisher information, math, of a parameter math, is a lower bound on the variance of an unbiased estimator of the parameter (denoted math).

math

In some cases, no unbiased estimator exists that realizes the lower bound.

The Cramér-Rao inequality is also known as the Cramér-Rao bounds (CRB) or Cramér-Rao lower bounds (CRLB) because it puts a lower bound on the variance of an estimator math.

Contents

[edit] Example

Suppose X is a normally distributed random variable with known mean math and unknown variance math. Consider the following statistic:

math

Then T is unbiased for math, as math. What is the variance of T?

math

(the second equality follows directly from the definition of variance). The first term is the fourth moment about the mean and has value math; the second is the square of the variance, or math. Thus

math

Now, what is the Fisher information in the sample? Recall that the score V is defined as

math

where math is the likelihood function. Thus in this case,

math

where the second equality is from elementary calculus. Thus, the information in a single observation is just minus the expectation of the derivative of V, or

math

Thus the information in a sample of math independent observations is just math times this, or math.

The Cramer Rao inequality states that

math

In this case, the inequality is satisfied. In fact the equality is achieved, showing that the estimator is efficient (see efficiency and estimator).

[edit] Regularity conditions

This inequality relies on two weak regularity conditions on the probability density function, math, and the estimator math:

  • The Fisher information is always defined; equivalently, for all math such that math,
math
is finite.
  • The operations of integration with respect to x and differentiation with respect to math can be interchanged in the expectation of math; that is,
math
whenever the right-hand side is finite.

In some cases, a biased estimator can have both a variance and a mean squared error that are below the Cramér-Rao lower bound (the lower bound applies only to estimators that are unbiased). See estimator bias.

If the second regularity condition extends to the second derivative, then an alternative form of Fisher information can be used and yields a new Cramér-Rao inequality

math

In some cases, it may be easier to take the expectation with respect to the second derivative than to take the expectation of the square of the first derivative.

[edit] Multiple parameters

Extending the Cramér-Rao inequality to multiple parameters, define a parameter column vector

math

with probability density function (pdf), math, that satisfies the above two regularity conditions.

The Fisher information matrix is a math matrix with element math defined as

math

then the Cramér-Rao inequality is

math

where

  • math
  • math


  • math


  • math

And math is a positive-semidefinite matrix, that is

math

If math is an unbiased estimator (i.e., math) then the Cramér-Rao inequality is

math

[edit] Single-parameter proof

First, a more general version of the inequality will be proven; namely, that if the expectation of math is denoted by math, then for all math

math

The Cramér-Rao inequality will then follow as a consequence.

Let math be a random variable with probability density function math. Here math is a statistic, which is used as an estimator for math. If math is the score, i.e.

math

then the expectation of math, written math, is zero. If we consider the covariance math of math and math, we have math, because math. Expanding this expression we have

math

This may be expanded using the chain rule

math

and the definition of expectation gives, after cancelling math,

math

because the integration and differentiation operations commute (second condition).

The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality shows that

math

therefore

math

Q.E.D.

If math is an unbiased estimator of math, that is, math, then math; the inequality then becomes

math

This is the Cramér-Rao inequality.

The efficiency of math is defined as

math

or the minimum possible variance for an unbiased estimator divided by its actual variance. The Cramér-Rao lower bound thus gives math.

[edit] Multivariate normal distribution

For the case of a d-variate normal distribution

math

with a probability density function

math

The Fisher information matrix has elements

math

where "tr" is the trace.

Let math be a white Gaussian noise (a sample of math independent observations) with variance math

math

Where

math

and math has math (the number of independent observations) terms.

Then the Fisher information matrix is 1 × 1

math

and so the Cramér-Rao inequality is

math

[edit] Further reading

Smallwikipedialogo.png This page uses content from the English-language version of Wikipedia. The original article was at Cramér-Rao inequality. The list of authors can be seen in the page history. As with Psychology Wiki, the text of Wikipedia is available under the GNU Free Documentation License.

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